Evil Chinese Bankers and the Next American President
For a few, brief shining years that bumpered the last and current centuries (1998 – 2001), the Treasury of the United States ran a surplus (detailed statistics can be found here, pp. 21-22). As a modern phenomenon, an American surplus is weird: since the 1930s, the US government has almost always operated at a deficit. So, at some level, it was not so unusual when President Bush and his Republican Congress went on a debt-financed spending spree (a tax cut here, a war there …) that plummeted the US Treasury back into deficit spending.
And it was not so unusual that the new deficits were partly financed with US Treasury bills purchased by private investors and foreign governments. Though low-yielding, US Treasuries are among the world’s safest and most stable investments. So when a foreign government with a whole lot of excess dollars – like China’s – suddenly needs somewhere safe to park greenbacks, US treasuries are the natural depot (I hereby acknowledge – but purposely do not go into – the currency manipulation angle involved in some of those investments). (more…)